Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Tuesday Afternoon Forecast Thoughts


Here's a look at current precipitable water values. Notice we are still in a relative minimum here in the GTR; therefore, we've got lots of sunshine across the area early this afternoon with just a few high cirrus clouds. 
By tomorrow afternoon, we're expected to see these PW values increase to at least around 1.5". We can expect a bit more cloud cover across the area as a result, but will there be any showers? 
Notice the core of the upper level ridge over Louisiana. The lighter blues near Monroe represent a small area of vorticity, and this is being slowly advected eastward. So therefore, we can expect at least a few showers or storms in scattered spots across the area this afternoon. 
We might have an interesting weather setup this weekend. A frontal boundary will be approaching us from the northwest, but now the GFS is suggesting maybe some type of tropical low spinning up in the far northern Gulf. I'll be watching on how these features evolve over the next couple of days! 

IW

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