Here's the GFS forecast for 18z today, so about 30 minutes ago. We have a strong ridge of high pressure over the central portions of the country, while we have general troughiness over the eastern third of the country. Here locally in the GTR, we're certainly feeling some of the impacts of that ridge as those temperatures are climbing into the low 90s.
But boy it sure is feeling quite comfortable despite the toasty temperatures. Check out these dew point temperatures: low 60s for us in Starkville - that's certainly something we like to see as we get towards the end of summer. You have to remember - even though we are in the first part of September, temperatures can still reach the upper 90s into the low 100s so we can be thankful we aren't dealing with that type of brutal heat.
Moving ahead to Friday, we are still expected to feeling quite nice thanks to the northeasterly flow at the surface as depicted in the map above. Dewpoint temperatures are expected to remain about where they are now - the low 60s - at least through the end of the week....good news!
A return flow begins to evolve by Monday of next week. Here's the GFS showing a more southeasterly surface wind. As a result, we'll see that dewpoint temperature begin to creep back up as moisture returns. As this happens, we may squeeze out a few storms during the afternoon, but most areas should stay dry.
Both the Euro and GFS do agree on some type of frontal system trying to push south into our area by the middle part of next week. Should these solutions verify, we could see an increase in the number of showers and storms in our neck of the woods. But for now, enjoy the warm weather along with the 'dry' feel to the air!
IW
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