Here's a look at radar from 305 PM this afternoon. Most of the showers are actually located from southeast through northeast Alabama with pockets of heavy rain. This activity will persist through the afternoon but should weaken by mid-evening, leaving most areas to deal with some patchy fog overnight.
By tomorrow, we'll be on the eastern periphery of a large mid-level ridge anchored over the 4 corners region. This should allow for some more sunshine across the area, but also some warmer temperatures. With that said, the garden variety afternoon storms will be in the cards for tomorrow and probably Wednesday as well, before more changes come our way.
Another trough of low pressure over the eastern third of the country will send a cold front our way by Thursday. With the moisture expected and lift from the approaching front, numerous showers and storms are likely at any time during the day Thursday and Thursday evening. Most models do agree, however, that the front will clear our area for Friday and part of Saturday so most of those days should remain dry.
By the weekend, models are continuing to pain that trough of low pressure to actually close itself off and retrograde southwest into the northwest Gulf. Since we'll have had about a day of northerly flow, moisture may be limited, but some isolated showers are possible with this feature for sure. Also, it will provide below average temperatures once again, as highs will be in the low maybe mid 80s and overnight lows for the weekend should be in the mid 60s!
Last but not least, here's a look at Tropical Storm Chantal. Reconnaissance aircraft is approaching the storm for a better look, but for now maximum sustained winds are at 45mph as she continues on a swift WNW track. Tropical Storm Warnings are up for most of the Leeward Islands. The NHC official track as Chantal making a NW turn around the eastern tip of Cuba, before potentially heading towards the nation's eastern seaboard. It remains much too early to call whether it will be a Florida issue, a Carolina issue, or a total recurver...we'll just have to wait and see!
Enjoy your Monday afternoon, and God Bless!
IW
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